For the past two months, I’ve been winning steadily with a strategy and style of play that I had refined. Today I seem to have hit a wall, or players have adjusted and found my number, or I’m just getting hellaciously bad cards at the wrong time. Not cards I shouldn’t have played, that would be easy to avoid. Hands that I had to play, and couldn’t win with.
I’ve lost about 300,000 chips tonight, and taken in 0. I haven’t been playing THAT badly. I get beat by a great hand over a good hand, or a slightly better hand over my hand.
Something I’ve been susceptible too lately is the re-raise. I’ve been playing well by raising to open, and keeping a tight enough range that I’m opening profitably. I usually get one player to call, and I can usually prevail against that player. I lay down when I have to, but usually affordably, and my win rate has been good.
Suddenly this week, everyone’s calling my opens that would usually have gotten 1-2 calls, and so instead I’m in a 4-5 way pot, and it’s necessary to fold more often because it’s more likely someone else hit the pot when you miss, bluffing isn’t feasible.
I’m also getting killed by slow players passing up at a pot and then raising like hell when I bet in late position. They give me no credit for having a hand, and fire away. If I have something, and call, turns out they really did have something far better. If I don’t call, I don’t usually find out what they had.
Also it seems like I only get really good cards UTG, and if I do win with them it’s not as profitable. If I don’t raise, everyone limps, I can’t check raise, someone hits the flop better than I do, and although I have something, they end up with better. If I raise big, everyone folds and I win a tiny pot. If I raise a little, someone later raises way bigger and I can’t call.
Not sure what I need to do to regain my winning ways. Tighten up and open bigger? Start slow playing and check raising more? Walk away from the table for a day, forget about the bad night, and come back fresh with my A-game another day?