Low Probability Events

Roy Sullivan 1912-1983

He survived all 7 documented lightning strikes between 1942 - 1977. The odds of being struck by lightning once over an 80-year lifespan are estimated to be around 1 in 10,0001. The probability of being struck seven times, if the lightning strikes were independent events, would be (1:10000)7=1:10282, or 1 in 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,0002. Another source estimates the odds of getting struck by lightning seven times as 4.15 in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,0003.

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