Low Probability Events

A place for low probability events

We’ll start with lightening hitting a golf ball.


The odds of winning the PowerBall Lottery 1 in 292.2 million or 3.42 E-9 wins/ tickets played. These odds do not change based on number of entrants or size of the jackpot.

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Bowling a 300 Game was always my goal in my younger days, I loved the sport of Bowling. I played 7 days a week for years. At age 24, I finally had the average score required to join the PBA, but didn’t have the 10K to get in the PBA. The best score I had was 278 and was proud of that but understood a 300 game may be a one time event for me, if it ever happened.


I got a 300 in a no-tap made it to the 9th frame before I left a hard 7. Never even came close before or after that. I do remember watching Earl Anthony bowl a 300 at a local event that was pretty cool.

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Have to ask, what is a no-tap my friend and if you left a 7 in the 9th frame, how was it a 300 game? refresh my old memory please :slight_smile:

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In a no tap tournament a 9 counts as a strike. It’s a fun tournament format for us non pros :slight_smile:


That would be fun I guess and good example of a low probability of scoring 300 in a PBA sanctioned game. :+1:

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A two tone lobster was caught off the shores of Maine

Scientists say the chances of such a mutation occurring are approximately 1-in-50 million.


I did have MANY 300 games-at the local bar on the small bowling machine lol:)


20 Million to 1
7 card stud is a classic poker game where the chances of getting a royal flush is 1 in 30,940 hands.

The odds of hitting any five-card Royal Flush are one in 649,000, and getting that sixth card pushes the odds to 1 in 20 million.

^ If you’re wondering if any casino paid out for a 6 card Royal it did happen in 2018 at the Borgata.

The 85 year old winner turned to his wife and said," I just won 1 Million dollars,"

She replied, " You’re full of crap! "

Of course, it’s an unbelievable win,

To top it off, just the day before, his wife had been declared cancer free.

Talk about running good!


1,560,000,000,000 to 1: Longest craps roll | Guinness World Records.

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The odds of Randy Johnson hitting a bird with a fastball during a game was calculated by a University of Colorado Professor to be about 1 in 50 million. This was based on the fact this was the only reported instance of that happening in the history of major and minor league baseball, the number of pitches throw per game and the number of games played per year. Yet it happened on March 21, 2001.

David Bowie and Iman

The odds of an American male dating a supermodel are estimated to be 880,000-to-1, assuming there are 110 million eligible bachelors in America and roughly 25 supermodels.

Good thing for David he was English much better odds :slight_smile:

Yes, I think they met in Los Angeles so it’s not exactly 100% the best example.

I like the picture so I’m going with it!

Good point!

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David Bowie’s eyes were not different colors but had different-size pupils due to anisocoria, a condition that affects the iris.

The condition of having two different colored eyes is known as heterochromia12. It’s quite rare, occurring in less than 1% of the population3. Some estimates suggest the odds are around 0.006%, or roughly 6 in 1000 people4. This would equate to fewer than 200,000 people in the U.S5. Heterochromia can be present at birth, or it can develop later in life due to disease or injury3. It’s more common in animals than in humans5.

Jane Seymour

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That is so cool:) I played 7 stud for years in A.C. and had 5 royals and the most i got was a jacket and a $100.00 dinner voucher the 5Th time:)

Roy Sullivan 1912-1983

He survived all 7 documented lightning strikes between 1942 - 1977. The odds of being struck by lightning once over an 80-year lifespan are estimated to be around 1 in 10,0001. The probability of being struck seven times, if the lightning strikes were independent events, would be (1:10000)7=1:10282, or 1 in 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,0002. Another source estimates the odds of getting struck by lightning seven times as 4.15 in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,0003.


Did the kid get the golf ball afterwards? I would have.

There was some doubt about it.

This is what’s on the internet about your question:

Gomez, writing from his account tgom_2, wrote: “They found my ball,” alongside a laughing-face emoji.

To this, Topgolf replied: “Gotchu.”

However, some people doubted the authenticity of the ball, including James Houston Jr who wrote: “I didn’t believe that this is the same golf ball. Have you ever seen what lightning can do to a tree and other objects? There is no way!”