Here’s a hand I just played to win a 2-seat SNG. Good outcome for me. Wonder what the better player think of the lines we both take.
Through 17 hands, things have been very passive. Most action coming preflop, most post-flop bets close the hand, a lot of checking to the river to see who has better high card. I don’t have any prior history with this player (that I’m aware of).
The final hand:
V has 2795 chips; I have 3145 – a slight edge.
Blinds at 20/40. I raised from the SB to 80 holding Ts9h; V re-raises to 160; I call. Pot is 320.
Flop is 3d9cTc. I’m holding T9o, top two pair. V bets 1/2 pot (160), I raise to 320. V re-raises to 800; I call. Pot is 1920.
Turn 2d. V shoves 1875 chips; I call, leaving 330 behind if I lose. V flips up TdTd, for Top pair TTA and AT32d for a flush draw.
River 6s, brick, I win the hand and the game.
At the flop, I’m thinking I may be up against: 33, 99, TT, 93, JJ+. Some of those hands are ahead of me, some have the potential to be.
Overpair + paired board or improving to set beats me; any flopped set beats me, but I’m partially blocking 99 and TT.
As it played out, V had outs in: Any Ace (3 outs), any Diamond (8 outs) for 11 outs when they shoved on the Turn, about 22% to improve, plus the showdown value of Top Pair, Top Kicker.
Was their shoving a good idea? Was my call? I didn’t mind calling here, against a player with no history. He either has something or he’s bluffing; I’m ahead of AA- (except TT, 99, 33, 22) , 93, 9X, TX, and he can’t have a made straight or flush. I’m behind sets only. Seems like a good hand to call with.
How should V have played? I think they could have just bet the Turn, half pot, and then value-bet if their flush filled, or called whatever action on the River, accepting being beaten by 2-pair or better, and lived to play another hand; most likely I don’t put them all-in to call on the river, fearing being called only by hands that beat mine (which on this board is only sets, plus 45 which I don’t put V on given his line on this hand.)