Last night I played the 1-million chip tourney at 6:30 pm local time, as I have done most nights recently. I won the night before, but lost out on the bubble finishing in 6th place last night, when there were 5 paid places, so had to walk the Hall of Shame.
Here is the hand.
Six players on the table. Big Blind appears to have left the room as he had a megastack and then disappeared. He had doubled up on one of the first hands of the tournament when an opponent triumphantly shoved the river with 2 pairs and was called by BB who had hit an inside straight on the river. He had then used his chip advantage well to build a big stack.
SB was small stacked and would soon be blinded out. SB is an excellent player with whom I had had a terrific tussle on the final table the night before.
As UTG I would be going through the blinds next. I picked up a suited Ace/Nine of Spades, which looked like a good hand for a blinds steal. The largest stacks would be unlikely to call due to the small stack being on the verge of elimination on the bubble, and if the SB did call, they could not knock me out. The BB was undefended. After I had picked up these blinds, I should be in a good position to cruise into the money.
What could possibly go wrong? A lot, as it turned out.
So I shoved 15000 chips, fold, fold, then Button with 30,000 chips decided to call with AQ suited.
I am not sure if I like that call or not. Obviously he had me well covered, but he was a dog to any pocket pair, to AK, or to AA, KK, or QQ. Not only that, but SB was small stacked and close to elimination, BB was dead in the water, and we were on the bubble.
SB had picked up a pair of Jacks, and this was a great opportunity to call rather than wait to see if I survived and was eliminated on the bubble (which would actually have been the case.) She had a chance now to triple up, plus pick up both blinds, with a distinct possibility that myself and Button both had Ace high hands that were blocking each other. So, I think her call was a good play here.
I ran this in a simulator and JJ was a hair over 50% to win with the cards as they lay, so great odds for a small stack facing elimination as they would almost treble up. If I had KK, the odds for JJ went down to 18%, but really, how much calculation can you do in a few seconds?
Anyway, this is how it ended. bad result for me, but a fun game all the same. Would I have played the same way for real money? I like to think not.