i recently pulled up a tournament on youtube, in which, on the first hand, Daniel N. flopped a flush draw, and shoved. He didn’t hit, lost to a set, and was out.
i think i read somewhere what the odds of hitting a flush with suited hole cards are. does anyone know what the odds Daniel faced were?
i’ve wondered this for a while, as i tend to gamble on that same draw, now and then.

According to my friend google (and I’m sure that he is nice enough to answer you as well if you ask him), the odds of being dealt any 2 suited cards are 3.3 - 1 (or 24%), if you have 2 suited cards the odds of flopping a flush are 118 - 1 (or 0.84%), and with 2 suited cards the odds of making a flush by the river are 15 - 1 (or 6.4%).

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a flushdraw is usually a good hand to be semi bluffing on. don’t know the actual hand so i cant give an depth analysis on it but since you already hold decent equity of your draw, you just need a bit more fold equity to make the semi bluff profitable.

as for the actual odds:

being dealt suited cards: almost 25%
being dealt specific suited cards: almost 6,25%

with suited cards…
flopping a flush is about 118:1
flopping a flushdraw is about 8:1

playing a flushdraw:
first of all it’s important to understand how to play your draws for the right reason.
to know the odds of a flushdraw (any any other draw) i usually use the rule of 4&2 to figure out my odds, this way of calculating isn’t 100% accurate but it’s defenitely close enough to use it profitably. the rule of 4&2 means you take amount of outs and multiply them by 2 to know your odds of hitting your draw by the next card. however if you wanna know your odds for the next 2 cards you multiply it by 4 instead, however you also need to know that you only use the x4 when it’s an all-in situation, simply because when it’s not you still usually have to pay more when the turn comes.
as for the odds, when using the rule of 4&2 we have about 18% to hit our flush
with that in mind i’ll try to explain why to play it a certain way:

bet or raise:
when you bet or raise your draw, it’s meant as a semi bluff. the intention is to get your opponent to fold the (best) hand and yet you do have decent equity as a backup in case you get called. so of course, when you do this you also need some fold equity to make it profitable. which means the tighter they play postflop, the better it works. the best players are the ones who play fit or fold or just play tight in general and the worst are the ones that love to call Cbets or just are loose in general.
a very different reason to bet might be when your opponent likes to lead out at a sign of weakness, in that case you would also bet, only just a smaller amount, when you decide to make a blocker bet it needs to be low enough to make it as cheap as possible but high enough that your opponent doesn’t see this as a sign of weakness as well and decides to raise over it

call or check:

fold:
this one is simple, you fold if none of the ponts mentioned apply and you get bad odds to call your draw

one other thing:
also keep in mind that the odds are only based on the assumption that you’re drawing to the nuts, any draw that isn’t the nuts should also have to take into coinsiderantion that there are also reverse implied odds, which means your average % to win is lower and when you do lose you often lose a massive pot. don’t take this the wrong way, it’s not like you can’t play a big pot with kh8h with 3 hearts when facing a bet, it just means you don’t try to blow up pots with weak flushes and always play it carefully. and of course, when you are pretty certain you are facing a hand range that likes to pay a lot and yet is weaker then yours then you totally go for it. however when you’re not that sure try to keep the pot under control.

hope this helps, gl.
yiazmat

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thanks. i checked out the link. very informative. for someone who wears google out, when working on my car, i never thought about chasing down poker strategy sites.