The fairness debate


#1888

Set mining on Replay is a super good strategy because so many people only raise with QQ+ and then get aggressive when they flop overpairs. So, if your perceptions about how the cards will fall are correct and working for you, then that is great.

If you can track data that shows that flops are meaningfully different from what would be expected over larger sample sizes (1000+ hands to start), that would be compelling evidence.


#1889

I would love to do this. Would there be any way that we, as players, could organize this into a pool of data?


#1890

Maybe nobody in the games you play, but not where I live. Consistent winners don’t fall for that reasoning, and they also don’t post how the site is rigged. So many people play any 2 suited cards that they must suspect they have found some secret recipe for success.

In a way, this makes the “flush myth” a self reinforcing cycle. We see more flushes, so assume there are more flushes, so play more suited cards, so see more flushes, and so on.


#1891

And this may be the most salient point made to date in this thread. If everyone is playing on the same setup, the pRNG isn’t the determining factor in long-term win/loss rates. That brings me back to my original position that its nearly irrelevant if the deal is true or not. If its random for you then its random for me. If its skewed for you, its skewed for me. Since we can’t know for sure one way or the other and since no one can seriously claim its set up to specifically benefit/harm certain players, just play the game and let the chips fall where they may.


#1892

Absolutely, if one isn’t receiving a fair shake here due to the site and not the play. Why hang out, go somewhere else…

-Larry


#1893

What gave you guys the impression that the folks who suspect the RNG is juiced are consistent losers?


#1894

Some people hear what they want to hear and project their feelings onto everything. Things that don’t fit their narrative must be demeaned. Setting up straw-men arguments is just one tactic. Its not even worth responding to some of the things said here but I will point out a few things:

  1. I never said the deal causes anyone to lose
  2. I have consistently won here, placing high on every leaderboard I’ve entered
  3. My observations of the deal here vs what I play online for cash give me a lot of reason to believe the deal is juiced. That’s observation based on hundreds of thousands of hands elsewhere and tens of thousands here. I am putting forth actual hands and actual numbers - sorry if reality offends anyone. The endless parade of “oh, it can’t be juiced because I’m freaking brilliant and I would have noticed” gives me a chuckle. Has that argument ever worked for anyone anywhere?

Let anyone who wants to take it seriously. Let others over complicate the game needlessly in attempts to sound smart. Its an entertainment site loosely based on poker. When I’m in the mood for this type of entertainment, this is where I go. When I want to take poker seriously, I play real poker. The fact that people get so worked up over every little thing that doesn’t agree with whatever opinion they hold is sad. I have fun and I want them to have fun. I’m not telling them what to think and I’d appreciate them returning the favor. In the immortal words of Charlie Brown, “Good Grief”.


#1895

This is my absolute favorite quote of all time. Can I please post it in the “daily quotes” thread? Well said!!!


#1896

well I am one that takes advantage of the patterns I see. in fact, couple times it has helped me make it to the payouts.
couple hands that I remember were I held JJ and was short stacked. the preflop action got crazy before it even got to me, and I knew something was not right and folded. I knew two things, 1 I was either going up against another pocket pair. 2 knew someone would be playing any ace they had in their hand. I’m glad I listen to my gut and folded,even though my head was saying go all in. right on cue Ace hit the flop and another one on the turn and someone held AK.

a hand I was involved with few days ago, I had flopped 3 of a kind and there was two suited cards on flop. before it got to me the bets and raises again got out of hand. I said to myself I have to fold this because I knew what was happening, I said someone is on flush draw and is going to hit on turn or river, so yes I folded a flop 3 of a kind and sure enough right on the river the third suited card hit and player hit their flush.

so yes I can sense something is not right and can make folds that I doubt many others would had made.


#1897

Quickly gathering recent thoughts here…

I agree that if the RNG is a bit weird at times, it isn’t picking winners and losers. I’m not an advocate for the position that the RNG is intentionally seeking people out for river beats or whatever. The craziness will affect everyone equally and good players are going to win consistently on their own.

However, I do think it is necessary to point out strange phenomenon when it does occur. I mention it here to see if others are seeing the same thing.


#1898

You mean you don’t want to be one of the cool kids who fling around poker strategies and terms that sound good but are only necessary at high stakes for money? You want to risk being mocked and shunned by these wizards of smart? If that’s ok with you, be my guest. Think about it before you go ahead though. You don’t want to upset the guy who thinks he needs to protect his checkback range against an opponent who is holding a beer in one hand and has his other one 3-knuckles deep up his own nose. They learned nothing from Wile E Coyote - just shoot the damn bird already! If your opponent can’t even spell ABC poker, never mind play it, you’re probably ok keeping it basic. LMAO


#1899

If I ever become one of them, please shoot me. Treat me as a turned Zombie; aim for the head LOL.


#1900

Nobody said that anybody else was a consistent loser, just that the fact that there are consistent winners and losers indicates that “juiced” or not, everybody here is playing the same game.


#1901

It’s great how you can make fun of people for being good at poker while also claiming to be good at poker. And you are expert enough to claim (with no evidence) that you have identified patterns in the play that aren’t “real” poker while claiming that others are taking this site too seriously. Hilarious


#1902

I don’t have much trouble reading English.
When it is said that ‘those playing winning poker don’t usually complain’ about the RNG, it clearly means that the “complainers” are mostly those playing losing poker.


#1903

Well, as far as data is concerned: I see the hands that I am dealt and they look pretty random to me…


#1904

Sorry I missed your message.

Yes, there weren’t any dramatic hands. You don’t need one to milk out a player. My observation is that you can never win in these sites. In fact I wanted to ask you this: have you ever won any money in any of these sites over a period of time?


#1905

I have lost quite a few times betting on pair jacks.

Once someone said in the game chat, “Only way to play a pair jacks is playing it wrong”.

That’s a good one. I think this is true for pair 10’s also. Anything under ten you may fold. Anything above jack you may not fold, but you have a good probability to win. 10’s and J’s are the cut over points. Even 9’s I think.

Added: except you bet high, and reduce the hands to two or three.


#1906

Disagreed, based on my last hand in today’s Bounty Adventure tournament. :smiley:
www.replaypoker.com/hand/replay/449289945


#1907

I been playing mostly free online backgammon, ( I’ll get to the point ), and I play real dice backgammon on wood boards, preferred.
They are not the same, you can outmaneuver in online gammon, think you got it in the bag, and the opponent wins with a string of doubles at the last moment. It just does not happen in real dice game of gammon.

In real poker I prefer to play manila, ( 32 cards, 7’s to Ace ),
You get dealt 2 cards each, and one community card before bets begin. So if ya holding a 7 8, and a J is the first community card, ya in with a chance…faster and cleaner due to less junk cards. Unfortunately I don’t see manila online, even free.

Ok, here, free poker and a few other places a similar thing happens with the dealing of the cards, so many questionable things that are far from real.

I have come to a conclusion and I think it’s to do with the physics of real games, and the mechanical algorithm in computer games.

The computer, the program is “fixed”, it has no free fall, it’s robotic be it computer dice rolls or computer generated card deals. A programmer will understand this and better explain what happens INSIDE the program/robot. Mathematicians may understand it also and better explain,

Even keno comes under the same principle…I used to go to casinos for the entertainment of watching the balls fall, and win more often than the computer keno. I no longer play keno unless it’s real balls.

The moral is, it’s the programming behind the dice rolls, cards dealt, keno etc etc.
It cannot and will not ever be the same as real free fall. You cannot put the physics of “free air” into a computer and expect a similar outcome. The math does not allow it because the algorithm, or “matrix” starts at mechanical zero and returns to mechanical zero in computer programs.

Therefore, the art is in the programer/s…can they produce as near as possible to the real, rather than pseudo-random ?